科学与环境
Can we really predict the future? Over one million forecasts offer clues, not certainty
来源: Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories · 发布于
Can crowds of people trading on what they believe will happen collectively predict the future? A new Tel Aviv University study of more than 1 million forecasts suggests that they often come remarkably close. But when it comes to certain events, from international conflicts to ele
Can crowds of people trading on what they believe will happen collectively predict the future? A new Tel Aviv University study of more than 1 million forecasts suggests that they often come remarkably close. But when it comes to certain events, from international conflicts to elections, the odds may tell a different story.
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