The Guardian view on Labour’s budget: bold ambitions and welcome first steps | Editorial

Banks, landlords and gambling firms will pay more as the chancellor begins building a fairer economy and a more active state in a cost of living crisis John Healey’s first budget was a Rorschach test. Supporters saw dozens of measures offering “ breathing space” to a public worn

Banks, landlords and gambling firms will pay more as the chancellor begins building a fairer economy and a more active state in a cost of living crisis John Healey’s first budget was a Rorschach test. Supporters saw dozens of measures offering “ breathing space” to a public worn down by rising prices. Critics admitted to a slew of announcements but countered that each was modest in value .

Underlying both views is that the budget was more ambitious on how a state can do more to protect the public than on how much it spends. The chancellor has taken a small step in the right direction – a tricky feat in a turbulent world. But an economy marked by entrenched inequality and more than a decade of stagnation will need a bigger stride.

The Office for Budget Responsibility’s “ pretty grim picture ” of living standards exposes the budget’s central weakness: its relief is temporary, while the squeeze on households persists. As the government deficit shrinks and company profits recover, households are expected to move from saving roughly £50bn in 2026 to borrowing roughly the same amount in 2031. By then, mortgage repayments are expected to reach 4.25% of household disposable income – the highest level since 2009.

The OBR expects growth to recover from 1% in 2027 to 1.8% in 2029, while weak worker “bargaining power” allows firms to rebuild profit margins. That sits uneasily with Mr Healey’s promises to working people. Do you have an opinion on the issues raised in this article?

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